BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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S Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 173 Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (8-12) Overall: (11-18) Overall Strength =   37.44

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-12-2022 Home    L     4.46  38  90    1  37 ( 25-  4) Middle Tennessee St   -33.91    -18.09                      
  2 11-16-2022 Home    L    30.12  76  80    1 193 ( 17- 13) IUPUI                  -8.25      4.25                      
  3 11-19-2022 Away    L    31.93  69  84    1 108 (  9- 21) Northwestern           -6.44     -8.56                      
  4 11-22-2022 Home    L    37.45  76  89    1  70 ( 19-  9) Memphis                -0.92    -12.08                      
  5 11-26-2022 Away    W    44.59  87  81    1 201 ( 16- 13) Lehigh                  6.23     -0.23                      
  6 11-27-2022 Neutral L    39.11  66  72    1 107 ( 20-  9) Kent                    0.74     -6.74                      
  7 12-01-2022 Home    W    64.37 115  57    1 360 (  6- 21) Chicago St             26.00 *   32.00                      
  8 12-07-2022 Home    W    49.26 100  72    1 312 ( 11- 18) Tennessee St           10.89     17.11                      
  9 12-21-2022 Away    L    16.93  54  82    1 126 ( 17- 17) Saint Louis           -21.44     -6.56                      
 10 12-29-2022 Away    W *  40.47  86  77    1 260 ( 12- 18) Evansville              2.10      6.90                      
 11 12-31-2022 Away    W *  38.09  60  58    1 229 ( 11- 18) Indiana St             -0.28      2.28                      
 12 01-05-2023 Home    W *  37.91  83  65    1 327 (  4- 27) Bradley                -0.46     18.46                      
 13 01-07-2023 Home    L *  42.22  56  59    1  91 ( 23-  7) Illinois St             3.85     -6.85                      
 14 01-11-2023 Away    L *  25.37  57  78    1 114 ( 19- 10) Missouri St           -13.00     -8.00                      
 15 01-14-2023 Away    L *  36.17  62  65    1 190 ( 17- 14) IL Chicago             -2.20     -0.80                      
 16 01-20-2023 Away    W *  50.77  81  73    1 146 ( 14- 15) Murray St              12.40     -4.40                      
 17 01-22-2023 Away    L *  -3.82  45 101    1  76 ( 21- 10) Belmont               -42.19    -13.81                      
 18 01-26-2023 Home    L *  38.17  73  87    1  53 ( 19-  9) Drake                  -0.20    -13.80                      
 19 01-28-2023 Home    L *  37.66  81  94    1  61 ( 21-  8) Northern Iowa          -0.71    -12.29                      
 20 02-01-2023 Home    L *  39.24  68  70    1 114 ( 19- 10) Missouri St             0.87     -2.87                      
 21 02-04-2023 Home    W *  55.75  77  47    1 276 (  7- 22) Valparaiso             17.38     12.62                      
 22 02-10-2023 Away    L *  47.34  70  73    1  91 ( 23-  7) Illinois St             8.97    -11.97                      
 23 02-12-2023 Away    W *  49.03  83  59    1 327 (  4- 27) Bradley                10.66     13.34                      
 24 02-17-2023 Home    L *  37.06  70  80    1  76 ( 21- 10) Belmont                -1.31     -8.69                      
 25 02-19-2023 Home    L *  23.65  69  83    1 146 ( 14- 15) Murray St             -14.72      0.72                      
 26 02-23-2023 Home    W *  45.97  79  64    1 229 ( 11- 18) Indiana St              7.60      7.40                      
 27 02-25-2023 Home    W *  72.35 105  59    1 260 ( 12- 18) Evansville             33.98     12.02                      
 28 03-02-2023 Away    L *  46.78  76  85    1  61 ( 21-  8) Northern Iowa           8.41    -17.41                      
 29 03-04-2023 Away    L *  34.29  68  91    1  53 ( 19-  9) Drake                  -4.08    -18.92                      
      Averages              38.37  73.4 75.0

Best game:   72.35 = 46 point win over Evansville
Worst game:  -3.82 = 56 point loss to Belmont
Team stdev:  15.46